Nobody knows when it launches
Of 105 launches inside 90 days, only six carry a confirmed date. The bottleneck is not the pad. It is the certainty of the date, and nobody publishes a number for it.
Intelligence
Measure the market
before you enter it.
96 criteria, 18 domains, one scale. The same instrument for every country — and the division that already earns.
Intelligence
One matrix.
Two layers. No exceptions.
Every country is scored on the same 96 criteria, in the same 1–5 scale. Missing data is shown as a gap, never filled with a guess. A country under 60% coverage does not get a verdict at all.
Core — 55
Value chain, demand, access to orbit, tourism, education, technology, capital, regulation, policy, geography, market access from the UK, risk. This layer produces the verdict.
Depth — 41
People, institutions, grants, law and tax, capital, scientific standing. This layer answers whether a product can be built and who would pay.
- G1 Every criterion carries a source of level A or B.
- G2 Dynamics no older than 90 days, structure no older than 12 months.
- G3 Coverage of at least 60% of weight, or no verdict.
- G4 The score must match its own argument, not the other way round.
Findings
Three things the market
does not say out loud.
One supplier, one third of the world
A client believes they bought access to orbit. They bought a dependency. The price of a second manifest is in no brochure.
The UK story is smaller than the brochure
Four launches scheduled from the UK against nine from Andøya in Norway. Europe is organising around a different map than the one being sold in London.
The market, counted
Three hundred launches.
One number that matters.
A count of scheduled records from the public launch library, deduplicated. Not a forecast of success.
0
launches in the public queue
0
% leave from the United States
0
% fly on a single rocket
0
% of the next 90 days has no confirmed date
0
% launch from the United Kingdom — four
0
% of traffic is suborbital: the only passenger route
Source: Launch Library 2, snapshot 2026-11-14.
Contact
Tell us the decision
you have to make.
A first conversation is free and usually short: what you are entering, what you already have, what would change your mind.
hello@tritonae.com